We’ve written before about the slow but steady erosion of support from black and Hispanic voters for the Democratic Party, something that became very pronounced during Donald Trump’s presidency as he and the RNC courted core left-wing voting blocs by explaining they had a lot more in common with the GOP than they did Democrats.
Since Trump left office, the decline in alliances among these same voters for Democrats has continued, but the most recent numbers from Gallup on this front suggest that Dems aren’t looking at just a trickling loss of support but a flood as fed-up black and Hispanic Americans are saying “adios” to Democrats in droves:
The Democratic Party’s advantage over Republicans in party preferences for Black and Hispanic adults in the U.S. has decreased by nearly 20 percentage points in the past three years, according to a new report from Gallup.
The findings, published Wednesday, show the difference in how many Black adults identify as Democrat or lean Democratic and those who identify as Republican or lean Republican decreased from 66 percent in 2020 to roughly 47 percent in 2023. That number marks the smallest gap the pollster has recorded for Democrats since it began collecting data in 1999.
Two-thirds of Black adults polled identify as or lean Democratic, whereas 19 percent identify as or lean Republican.
Gallup found the historically low support for Democrats was also true among Hispanic adults. Those who identify as or lean Democratic saw only a 12-point advantage in 2023 — down from 28 percent in 2020 — over those who lean or identify as Republican, according to the report.
Americans identifying as Democrats hit a new low (27%) in 2023, with party advantages decreasing among Black and Hispanic adults.
Full story: https://t.co/5rtOt7AyLe pic.twitter.com/djLwAzpbTS
— GallupNews (@GallupNews) February 7, 2024
As also noted by Gallup, “Whereas Democrats were at parity with Republicans among men as recently as 2009, and among non-college-educated adults as recently as 2019, they are now in the red with both groups.”
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To make matters worse for Joe Biden and his Democratic cohorts in this critical presidential election year, even independents – who are essential to any candidate’s victory – are swinging in Trump’s direction, with polling also showing third-party candidates will hurt Biden more than Trump in the general election:
2024 National GE, Among Independents:
Trump 41% (+6)
Trump 35% (+10)
Kennedy (I) 13%
I&I/TIPP, RV, 1/31-2/2 https://t.co/UxQbyKwke4 pic.twitter.com/vLn3d2PeNG
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) February 7, 2024
Without the locks they’ve had for decades on the black and Hispanic vote, Democrats will find it harder to win elections as voters they’ve typically relied on to carry them over the finish line look elsewhere for leadership and for candidates whose views on the issues are more inline with their own.
This is what happens when your intelligence gets insulted year after year and you begin to feel taken advantage of. People start looking for alternatives and begin to realize they don’t have to put all their eggs in one basket (party) to get the type of representation they want.
I don’t think this is a fluke, either. The likelihood of Democrats continuing to bleed support among some of their party faithful is strong thanks in part to the rise of New Media and the sustained pushback at efforts by Big Tech and the Legacy Media, sometimes in coordination with powerful Democrats, to discredit, censor, and/or cancel alternative media sources.
The dam has not just broken in terms of Democrats losing support from core groups. The controlled information dam has broken as well, which is filtering through and is, in my opinion, leading to much of the second-guessing we’re seeing today from those same Democrats who are experiencing wake-up calls.
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